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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,552.12 (+2.3%) | 3.4 | 0.1% | 14m | 18.8d ago · 44× | 33% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 7% ±3 | 33% ±12 | 52% ±22 | 69% ±32 | 2.3d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 342 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,527.81 (+1.3%) | 1.9 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 51% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 114 | 20% ±4 | 51% ±11 | 70% ±17 | 85% ±20 | 23h | 2.28% | 1.61% | 483 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,517.81 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.8% | 13h | 2.0d ago · 69× | 74% ±12 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 86 | 46% ±6 | 73% ±12 | 81% ±19 | 87% ±25 | 6h | 2.20% | 1.17% | 302 → 7 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,495.62–2,499.99 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 92% ±7 | 43% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 136 | 81% ±4 | 92% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 2.07% | 1.38% | 365 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,495.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,484.27 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 83% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 66% ±6 | 83% ±11 | 90% ±15 | 92% ±21 | 2h | 2.24% | 1.18% | 259 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,435.41–2,439.55 (-2.2%) | 3.4 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 29% ±8 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 115 | 7% ±2 | 29% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 3.0d | 2.23% | 1.48% | 812 → 19 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,287.87 (-8.3%) | 13 | 0.9% | 2h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 24% ±17 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1076 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-11.2%) | 17 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 490 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,916.5 (-23.2%) | 35 | 1.9% | 21h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 119 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 2,495.54 | 2,552.12 | 2,287.87 | expired | -1.27% |