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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,552.12 (+1.7%) | 2.6 | 0.1% | 14m | 18.6d ago · 44× | 42% ±15 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 11% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 61% ±25 | 77% ±33 | 1.5d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 264 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,517.81–2,525.89 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.8% | 13h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 78% ±10 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 114 | 56% ±5 | 77% ±10 | 87% ±14 | 92% ±18 | 3h | 2.25% | 1.42% | 393 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,508.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,490.4–2,495.62 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 81% ±8 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 154 | 60% ±4 | 81% ±8 | 89% ±11 | 93% ±14 | 3h | 2.05% | 1.32% | 503 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,445.3 (-2.5%) | 3.8 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 84× | 30% ±7 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 63% ±20 | 2.7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 918 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,435.41 (-2.9%) | 4.4 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.4d ago · 58× | 20% ±7 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 42% ±15 | 61% ±23 | 4.4d | 2.16% | 1.76% | 761 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,287.87 (-8.8%) | 13 | 0.9% | 2h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 23% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1093 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-11.6%) | 18 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 463 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 1,866.5–1,909.35 (-23.9%) | 36 | 2.2% | 1.0d | 1.9d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 117 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,508.68 | 2,525.89 | 2,445.3 | stop | -1.24% |
| 14d | POC | long | 2,508.68 | 2,517.81 | 2,435.41 | target | -1.24% |
| 30d | POC | long | 2,508.68 | 2,552.12 | 2,287.87 | expired | -1.24% |