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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,552.12 (+1.3%) | 2.0 | 0.1% | 14m | 18.6d ago · 44× | 52% ±16 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 17% ±5 | 52% ±16 | 67% ±27 | 82% ±33 | 22h | 1.82% | 1.47% | 220 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,523.97 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.1% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 86% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 114 | 72% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 93% ±14 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.61% | 242 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,519 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,517.81 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 14h | 11.0d ago · 55× | 86% ±15 | 57% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 71% ±8 | 86% ±15 | 91% ±21 | 91% ±32 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.82% | 120 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,491.41–2,499.99 (-0.8%) | 1.1 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 73% ±10 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 154 | 46% ±4 | 73% ±10 | 85% ±13 | 90% ±17 | 5h | 2.05% | 1.32% | 492 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,449.14 (-2.8%) | 4.1 | 4.0% | 1.6d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 27% ±7 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 5% ±1 | 27% ±7 | 50% ±13 | 62% ±20 | 3.0d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 950 → 23 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,435.41 (-3.3%) | 5.0 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 17% ±6 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±14 | 60% ±21 | 4.7d | 2.16% | 1.76% | 849 → 20 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,295.01 (-8.9%) | 13 | 0.7% | 1h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 23% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1093 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-12.0%) | 18 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±15 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 454 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 1,866.5–1,909.35 (-24.2%) | 36 | 2.2% | 1.0d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 118 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,519 | 2,601.4 | 2,495.62 | stop | -1.94% |