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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.83 (+1.7%) | 2.5 | 0.6% | 1h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 43% ±15 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 13% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 62% ±25 | 78% ±33 | 1.5d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 252 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,519.92–2,523.71 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 2.8% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 61% ±11 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 114 | 33% ±4 | 61% ±11 | 76% ±17 | 87% ±20 | 13h | 2.25% | 1.42% | 448 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,497.73–2,499.53 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.7% | 1.8d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 92% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 137 | 80% ±4 | 92% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 2.05% | 1.36% | 366 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,494.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,491.41 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.5% | 1.9d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 88% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 75% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 93% ±15 | 95% ±20 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.18% | 203 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,464.59 (-1.2%) | 1.7 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 55% ±11 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 26% ±4 | 55% ±11 | 73% ±17 | 81% ±23 | 16h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 474 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,437.52 (-2.3%) | 3.3 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 7% ±2 | 27% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 63% ±24 | 3.4d | 2.16% | 1.76% | 609 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,309.3 (-7.4%) | 11 | 0.5% | 2h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1035 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-11.2%) | 16 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 522 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,909.35 (-23.5%) | 33 | 2.1% | 1.0d | 2.0d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±14 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 131 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 2,494.84 | 2,537.83 | 2,309.3 | expired | -1.89% |