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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.83 (+2.7%) | 4.0 | 0.6% | 1h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 28% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±11 | 46% ±21 | 65% ±31 | 3.6d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 397 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,519.92–2,521.92 (+2.0%) | 2.9 | 2.7% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 43% ±9 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 114 | 11% ±2 | 43% ±9 | 64% ±15 | 80% ±18 | 1.4d | 2.25% | 1.42% | 761 → 18 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,491.41–2,499.53 (+0.9%) | 1.2 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 70% ±12 | 42% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 137 | 37% ±5 | 70% ±12 | 84% ±16 | 89% ±20 | 8h | 1.95% | 1.33% | 363 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,470.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,464.59 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 85% ±10 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 115 | 66% ±6 | 85% ±10 | 91% ±14 | 93% ±18 | 2h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 274 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,437.52 (-1.3%) | 1.9 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 43% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 17% ±4 | 42% ±13 | 60% ±21 | 73% ±29 | 1.8d | 2.16% | 1.76% | 358 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,316.44 (-6.2%) | 9.0 | 0.7% | 3h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 5% ±3 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 962 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-10.3%) | 15 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 544 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,909.35 (-22.7%) | 33 | 2.1% | 1.0d | 2.1d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±20 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 136 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,470.37 | 2,499.53 | 2,454.27 | stop | -0.40% |