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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,538.23 (+3.4%) | 5.0 | 0.6% | 1h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 20% ±9 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 4% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 36% ±18 | 56% ±28 | 5.5d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 511 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,512.52–2,514.38 (+2.3%) | 3.4 | 4.1% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 36% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 115 | 8% ±2 | 36% ±8 | 59% ±14 | 77% ±18 | 1.9d | 2.27% | 1.40% | 831 → 20 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,492.45–2,501.91 (+1.5%) | 2.2 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 45% ±12 | 42% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 138 | 13% ±3 | 45% ±12 | 67% ±20 | 76% ±26 | 1.3d | 1.96% | 1.32% | 404 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,456.49 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 2.2d | 4.6d ago · 56× | 93% ±10 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 69 | 81% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 93% ±17 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 1.68% | 1.54% | 135 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,455.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,433.79 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 59% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 74 | 36% ±5 | 60% ±13 | 70% ±21 | 78% ±29 | 10h | 2.10% | 1.76% | 334 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,355.11 (-4.1%) | 6.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 8% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 36% ±22 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 737 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 2,129.74–2,214.26 (-9.8%) | 14 | 0.1% | 5m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 559 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,876.2–1,911.41 (-22.2%) | 33 | 1.9% | 22h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±13 | 4% ±21 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 143 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,455.46 | 2,501.91 | 2,419.28 | target | +2.20% |