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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,538.23 (+3.3%) | 4.8 | 0.6% | 1h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 20% ±9 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 4% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 37% ±18 | 56% ±28 | 5.4d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 497 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,511.08–2,514.38 (+2.2%) | 3.2 | 4.3% | 1.1d | 1.1d ago · 97× | 38% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 115 | 9% ±2 | 38% ±8 | 60% ±14 | 78% ±19 | 1.7d | 2.27% | 1.40% | 798 → 19 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,492.45–2,501.91 (+1.4%) | 2.1 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 3.2d ago · 103× | 48% ±12 | 42% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 138 | 14% ±3 | 48% ±12 | 68% ±19 | 78% ±27 | 1.2d | 1.96% | 1.32% | 388 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,457.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,453.61 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.9% | 2.4d | 4.2d ago · 84× | 86% ±10 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 116 | 70% ±6 | 86% ±10 | 92% ±14 | 93% ±20 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.35% | 256 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,433.79 (-1.0%) | 1.5 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 4.4d ago · 58× | 56% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 74 | 31% ±5 | 56% ±13 | 68% ±21 | 77% ±29 | 13h | 2.10% | 1.76% | 332 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,355.11 (-4.2%) | 6.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 9% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 35% ±22 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 749 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 2,129.74–2,214.26 (-9.9%) | 15 | 0.1% | 5m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 560 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,876.2–1,911.41 (-22.2%) | 33 | 1.9% | 22h | 1.9d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±19 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 144 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,457.96 | 2,498.87 | 2,443.27 | stop | +2.18% |