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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,503 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0025), and their calibration slope is 0.02 (95% -0.31 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3.1267 (+5.0%) | 11 | 0.6% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 37× | 5% ±8 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±20 | 18% ±34 | > 7d | 3.28% | 1.36% | 199 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3.0792 (+3.4%) | 7.3 | 1.3% | 8h | 11.3d ago · 46× | 5% ±7 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 19% ±23 | 28% ±39 | > 7d | 1.74% | 2.55% | 194 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 3.049 (+2.4%) | 5.1 | 2.4% | 18h | 3.2d ago · 78× | 20% ±14 | 46% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±14 | 33% ±28 | 45% ±44 | > 7d | 1.88% | 2.01% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3.0313–3.035 (+1.8%) | 3.8 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 2.8d ago · 107× | 19% ±21 | 45% ±20 | 9% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±20 | 30% ±40 | 56% ±69 | 6.4d | 1.78% | 1.78% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3.0116 (+1.1%) | 2.4 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 19.1d ago · 65× | 47% ±31 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 14% ±8 | 51% ±30 | 68% ±46 | 91% ±40 | 21h | 1.94% | 1.21% | 64 → 2 | |
| at post · 2.9779 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2.9761 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 23h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 90% ±24 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 76% ±13 | 90% ±22 | 90% ±41 | 90% | 1h | 2.69% | 1.30% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2.948 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 1.5% | 12h | 2.7d ago · 80× | 46% ±27 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 11% ±7 | 45% ±26 | 74% ±38 | 81% ±54 | 1.2d | 3.11% | 1.96% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.8621 (-3.9%) | 8.3 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 6% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 14% ±19 | 20% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 237 → 6 |
| HVN zone | 2.8376–2.8474 (-4.4%) | 9.4 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.2d ago · 86× | 5% ±9 | 62% ±17 | 21% ±14 | 18% ±13 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 18% ±26 | 53% ±49 | 6.4d | 2.69% | 1.51% | 149 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2.9779 | 3.035 | 2.963 | stop | -4.51% |