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XRP · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
XRP · these odds carry no usable signal 4,506 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0004 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0025), and their calibration slope is 0.01 (95% -0.32 to 0.35) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3.1267 (+5.5%) | 12 | 0.6% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 37× | 5% ±8 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 11% ±19 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 3.28% | 1.36% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3.0677 (+3.5%) | 7.6 | 1.2% | 6h | 11.6d ago · 46× | 5% ±7 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 19% ±23 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 1.74% | 2.55% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 3.049 (+2.9%) | 6.2 | 2.4% | 18h | 3.5d ago · 78× | 17% ±13 | 46% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 26% ±26 | 38% ±43 | > 7d | 1.88% | 2.01% | 191 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3.0323–3.035 (+2.3%) | 5.0 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 3.1d ago · 107× | 12% ±15 | 45% ±20 | 9% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±15 | 23% ±34 | 52% ±57 | 6.3d | 1.78% | 1.78% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3.0116 (+1.6%) | 3.5 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 19.4d ago · 65× | 33% ±28 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 5% ±5 | 36% ±27 | 51% ±49 | 83% ±52 | 2.7d | 1.94% | 1.21% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2.9724 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.3% | 20h | 7.2d ago · 83× | 70% ±37 | 47% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 66% ±15 | 71% ±36 | 89% ±43 | 89% | 1h | 2.74% | 1.80% | 36 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 2.965–3.0532 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 112× | 85% ±27 | 44% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 79% ±12 | 85% ±25 | 96% ±23 | 96% | 1h | 1.74% | 2.10% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 2.9636 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2.9465 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 1.4% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 80× | 71% ±30 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 37% ±13 | 70% ±30 | 88% ±37 | 92% | 10h | 3.11% | 1.96% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 2.8621 (-3.4%) | 7.4 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 7% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 15% ±20 | 20% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 216 → 5 |
| HVN zone | 2.8376–2.8474 (-3.9%) | 8.5 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.4d ago · 86× | 5% ±9 | 62% ±17 | 21% ±14 | 18% ±13 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 18% ±25 | 52% ±49 | 6.4d | 2.69% | 1.51% | 155 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 2.9636 | 2.8869 | 3.035 | target | +4.04% |