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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-16 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,302.04 (+0.8%) | 3.0 | 1.0% | 9m | 6.1d ago · 66× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,270.53–6,274.92 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 5.5% | 7h | 6.0d ago · 71× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 6,259.35 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.1% | 11h | 6.2d ago · 78× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 6,251.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,249.81 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.7% | 7h | 7.9d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,239.02 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 4.3% | 4h | 7.9d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,049.96 (-3.2%) | 12 | 0.3% | 0m | 7.2d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,251.88 | 6,259.35 | 6,245.29 | target | +0.63% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,251.88 | 6,270.53 | 6,227.68 | target | +0.63% |