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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-17 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,302.04 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 1.0% | 9m | 6.0d ago · 66× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| at post · 6,275.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,264.37–6,274.92 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.1% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 92% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 83% ±23 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,250.81 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 5.1% | 8h | 7.8d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,239.02 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 4.5% | 4h | 7.8d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 30D VAL | 6,049.96 (-3.6%) | 14 | <0.1% | 0m | 7.0d ago · 41× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±14 | 14% ±48 | 41% | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,275.66 | 6,299.77 | 6,264.37 | target | +0.29% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,275.66 | 6,302.04 | 6,239.02 | target | +0.29% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,275.66 | 6,302.04 | 6,049.96 | target | +0.29% |