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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,315.61 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 0.7% | 10m | 8.0d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 6,289.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,277.79–6,287.1 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 4.3% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 23% ±25 | 31% ±64 | 31% | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,265.75–6,267.15 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 7.5% | 10h | 6.0d ago · 75× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,232.38 (-0.9%) | 3.7 | 3.6% | 4h | 7.8d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,223.92 (-1.0%) | 4.2 | 4.4% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,126.14 (-2.6%) | 10 | 1.1% | 1h | 7.0d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.