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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,334.22 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | <0.1% | 8m | 8.1d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 6,333.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,291.78 (-0.7%) | 2.7 | 4.3% | 7h | 6.0d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,276.94 (-0.9%) | 3.6 | 6.4% | 6h | 14.1d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,264.28–6,265.92 (-1.1%) | 4.3 | 6.9% | 12h | 6.0d ago · 75× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,232.09–6,239.21 (-1.5%) | 6.0 | 3.3% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,218.32 (-1.8%) | 7.3 | 4.7% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 8% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,144.19 (-3.0%) | 12 | 1.2% | 2h | 7.1d ago · 41× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 14% | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.