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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,336.08 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.4% | 1h | 8.1d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 6,334.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,305.15 (-0.5%) | 2.1 | 1.8% | 1h | 6.0d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 6,291.03 (-0.7%) | 3.0 | 4.2% | 7h | 8.0d ago · 75× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,283.4 (-0.8%) | 3.6 | 4.5% | 4h | 14.1d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,258.08–6,259.76 (-1.2%) | 5.2 | 7.2% | 11h | 6.0d ago · 67× | 27% ±61 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 12% ±17 | 26% ±61 | 53% | 94% | 2.1d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,241.04 (-1.5%) | 6.5 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 48× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,217.21 (-1.9%) | 8.1 | 4.1% | 5h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 8% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,146 (-3.0%) | 13 | 1.1% | 1h | 7.1d ago · 41× | 6% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 22% | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.