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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,381.31 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 0.8% | 47m | 8.0d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| at post · 6,375.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,347.45 (-0.4%) | 2.0 | 1.1% | 38m | 6.0d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,318.41 (-0.9%) | 4.1 | 2.1% | 1h | 14.0d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 15% ±21 | 32% ±65 | 73% | 73% | 2.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,281.71–6,291.17 (-1.3%) | 6.0 | 4.4% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 21% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±17 | 19% ±55 | 54% | 74% | 2.1d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,265.39 (-1.7%) | 7.9 | 6.2% | 11h | 6.0d ago · 63× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±18 | 21% ±56 | 49% | 49% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,232.14 (-2.2%) | 10 | 3.2% | 4h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 7% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±12 | 6% ±27 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,189.87 (-2.9%) | 13 | 2.4% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.