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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,391.2 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 0.8% | 43m | 5.9d ago · 71× | 92% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 92% ±17 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 6,390.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,373.13 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 1.5% | 4h | 8.1d ago · 75× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 17% ±23 | 33% ±65 | 42% | 52% | 5.0d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,328.63 (-1.0%) | 5.0 | 1.3% | 3h | 14.1d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,310.18 (-1.3%) | 6.5 | 1.3% | 3h | 7.9d ago · 67× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±16 | 18% ±44 | 49% | 72% | 5.9d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,291.65–6,295.33 (-1.5%) | 7.7 | 3.9% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 63× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 10% ±16 | 14% ±48 | 41% | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,214.86 (-2.8%) | 14 | 2.9% | 4h | 7.9d ago · 58× | 21% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 12% ±17 | 19% ±55 | 45% | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,199.46 (-3.0%) | 16 | 2.5% | 3h | 7.1d ago · 41× | 11% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±10 | 10% ±27 | 22% ±58 | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.