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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-28 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,398.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,396.3 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 1.2% | 2h | 6.0d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 6,373.02 (-0.4%) | 2.2 | 1.8% | 4h | 8.0d ago · 75× | 29% ±63 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 14% ±20 | 29% ±63 | 36% | 54% | 5.0d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,335.24–6,337.06 (-1.0%) | 5.4 | 1.2% | 2h | 14.1d ago · 40× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 17% ±23 | 25% ±60 | 42% | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,321.1 (-1.2%) | 6.9 | 1.6% | 1h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 18% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±16 | 18% ±43 | 35% | 50% | 5.9d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,296.34 (-1.6%) | 9.1 | 2.8% | 6h | 6.0d ago · 63× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±18 | 20% ±55 | 40% | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,241.04 (-2.5%) | 14 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 48× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,215.55 (-2.9%) | 16 | 3.2% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,209.04 (-3.0%) | 17 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.1d ago · 41× | 10% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 20% ±55 | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,398.09 | 6,473.29 | 6,373.02 | expired | -0.01% |