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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-28 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,399.88 (+0.3%) | 1.5 | 1.2% | 34m | 5.8d ago · 71× | building | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.15% | 0.32% | 6 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,392.12 (+0.1%) | 0.8 | 1.7% | 4h | 6.0d ago · 78× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 6,383.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,349.21 (-0.5%) | 3.2 | 0.8% | 45m | 14.0d ago · 40× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 8% ±16 | 23% ±58 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,337.06 (-0.7%) | 4.3 | 1.1% | 2h | 14.9d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,321.1 (-1.0%) | 5.8 | 1.5% | 1h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 18% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 9% ±12 | 18% ±38 | 36% | 52% | 5.9d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,296.34 (-1.4%) | 8.1 | 2.7% | 6h | 6.0d ago · 63× | 18% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 11% ±15 | 17% ±43 | 35% | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,241.04 (-2.2%) | 13 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 14% ±20 | 22% ±58 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,215.55 (-2.6%) | 16 | 3.0% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 15% ±21 | 24% ±59 | 50% | 50% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,209.04 (-2.7%) | 16 | 2.5% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 10% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 20% ±55 | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,383.25 | 6,321.1 | 6,399.88 | stop | +0.01% |