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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,409.26 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 0.6% | 10m | 8.0d ago · 49× | 67% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 50% ±31 | 67% ±65 | 92% | 92% | 4h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 6,399.74 (+0.0%) | 0.2 | 1.1% | 54m | 5.8d ago · 71× | 92% ±37 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 92% ±16 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 0.15% | 0.32% | 11 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,397.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,378.91 (-0.3%) | 1.8 | 2.2% | 4h | 7.9d ago · 75× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 21% ±23 | 29% ±63 | 36% | 57% | 4.9d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,363.57 (-0.5%) | 3.2 | 1.0% | 54m | 14.0d ago · 40× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±15 | 22% ±58 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,343.79 (-0.8%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 41m | 7.7d ago · 67× | 17% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±11 | 16% ±36 | 25% | 43% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,296.08 (-1.6%) | 9.7 | 4.0% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 63× | 21% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 12% ±17 | 19% ±55 | 42% | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,249.03 (-2.3%) | 14 | 3.1% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 48× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 15% ±21 | 24% ±59 | 53% | 53% | 2.1d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,216.13–6,216.98 (-2.8%) | 17 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 10% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 9% ±10 | 13% ±30 | 29% ±63 | 29% | 2.1d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.