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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,409.26 (+0.4%) | 2.3 | 0.7% | 10m | 8.0d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | 15% ±21 | 40% ±68 | 92% | 92% | 1.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,395.24–6,400.95 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 1.3% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 87% ±47 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 61% ±24 | 86% ±39 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 0.15% | 0.32% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,383.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,378.14–6,379.15 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.3% | 6h | 6.0d ago · 75× | 92% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 76% ±25 | 84% ±51 | 84% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,367.19 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,297.12 (-1.3%) | 7.5 | 4.1% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,249.03 (-2.1%) | 12 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 15% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 9% ±13 | 14% ±39 | 30% | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,216.98 (-2.6%) | 15 | 2.7% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 6% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 16% ±51 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,383.16 | 6,378.14 | 6,362.14 | target | +0.39% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,383.16 | 6,400.95 | 6,297.12 | target | +0.39% |