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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,409.26 (+0.4%) | 2.3 | 0.7% | 10m | 8.2d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | 16% ±22 | 42% ±68 | 92% | 92% | 1.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,399.6 (+0.3%) | 1.5 | 1.3% | 1h | 6.2d ago · 66× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 6,391.03 (+0.1%) | 0.7 | 1.3% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 71× | 89% ±36 | 14% ±21 | 57% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 70% ±21 | 83% ±43 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.16% | 0.15% | 18 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,382.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,377.87–6,378.06 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.9% | 7h | 6.2d ago · 75× | 92% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 81% ±22 | 89% ±44 | 89% | 89% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,367.89 (-0.2%) | 1.3 | 3.2% | 3h | 8.0d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,303.01 (-1.2%) | 6.9 | 2.6% | 3h | 8.0d ago · 58× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,249.03 (-2.1%) | 12 | 3.2% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 48× | 14% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 9% ±12 | 13% ±33 | 29% | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,216.98 (-2.6%) | 14 | 2.7% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 41× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 16% ±51 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.