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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,408.06 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,400.65 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.1% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 6,391.67 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 60% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 60% ±27 | 60% ±68 | 73% | 73% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 6,362.75–6,378.53 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 5.9% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 20% ±22 | 30% ±64 | 43% | 60% | 4.9d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,310.7 (-1.5%) | 5.8 | 2.9% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,266.34 (-2.2%) | 8.4 | 7.4% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 32% | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,169.94 (-3.7%) | 14 | 0.3% | 0m | 6.9d ago · 41× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±19 | 15% ±50 | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,408.06 | 6,429.81 | 6,378.53 | stop | -2.43% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,408.06 | 6,498.01 | 6,378.17 | stop | -2.43% |