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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,427.02 (+2.8%) | 6.4 | 0.1% | 14m | 8.0d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,397.26 (+2.3%) | 5.3 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 71× | building | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.36% | 0.35% | 4 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,369.62–6,381.31 (+1.9%) | 4.3 | 10.7% | 13h | 6.0d ago · 78× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 14D VAL | 6,329.23 (+1.2%) | 2.8 | 4.2% | 8h | 6.9d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 30D POC | 6,266.34 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 12.0% | 19h | 6.0d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| at post · 6,252.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,234.21 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 6.5% | 8h | 7.0d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,252.3 | 6,184.27 | 6,372.81 | expired | +0.24% |
| 30d | POC | short | 6,252.3 | 6,234.21 | 6,427.02 | target | +0.24% |