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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-06 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,378.8–6,401.3 (+1.1%) | 2.6 | 12.1% | 18h | 5.8d ago · 71× | building | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 8% ±17 | 18% ±53 | 74% | 92% | 2.0d | 0.36% | 0.35% | 10 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,368.25–6,390.86 (+1.0%) | 2.2 | 7.7% | 11h | 6.0d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,352.43 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 4.3% | 5h | 8.0d ago · 49× | 50% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 20% ±22 | 47% ±69 | 93% | 93% | 1.9d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,341.13–6,347.91 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 3.7% | 5h | 21.8d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,324.14 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 5.5% | 9h | 6.9d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| at post · 6,306.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,289.85–6,305.92 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 8.9% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 67% ±65 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 61% ±27 | 68% ±65 | 68% | 68% | 1h | 0.65% | 0.24% | 13 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,286.89–6,302.71 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.8% | 14h | 5.9d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,216.82 (-1.4%) | 3.3 | 3.1% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,306.94 | 6,388.44 | 6,289.85 | target | +0.79% |