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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-06 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,397.64–6,401.3 (+0.9%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 66× | 39% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±15 | 38% ±55 | 76% | 86% | 2.0d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,378.8–6,386.3 (+0.6%) | 1.6 | 10.1% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 53% ±69 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 12% ±17 | 50% ±69 | 68% | 68% | 1.0d | 0.36% | 0.35% | 14 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,370.52–6,390.86 (+0.4%) | 1.3 | 7.8% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,359.21–6,363.73 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 3h | 21.8d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 6,342.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,324.14 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 4.8% | 8h | 7.7d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,286.89–6,307.23 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 7.2% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,289.85–6,305.92 (-0.6%) | 1.6 | 7.4% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 75× | 38% ±67 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 25% ±23 | 38% ±67 | 50% | 63% | 1.6d | 0.65% | 0.24% | 14 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,277.85–6,282.37 (-0.9%) | 2.6 | 3.9% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,266.55 (-1.2%) | 3.3 | 9.4% | 15h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.