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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-07 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,401.3 (+0.7%) | 2.2 | 1.0% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 11% ±15 | 34% ±54 | 56% | 82% | 2.2d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,378.8–6,381.29 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 9.1% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 73% ±61 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 36% ±25 | 68% ±65 | 89% | 93% | 15h | 0.36% | 0.35% | 14 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,368.41–6,390.95 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 6.0% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,357.14–6,361.65 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.0% | 4h | 21.7d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 6,356.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D POC | 6,346.58–6,350.37 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.4% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 69% ±64 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 65% ±24 | 71% ±52 | 76% | 82% | 1h | 0.65% | 0.24% | 15 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,324.14 (-0.5%) | 1.6 | 4.3% | 7h | 7.6d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,305.29–6,307.54 (-0.8%) | 2.4 | 6.4% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,290.05 (-1.0%) | 3.3 | 7.1% | 11h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 22% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 11% ±15 | 22% ±47 | 44% | 61% | 5.0d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,278.24–6,280.49 (-1.2%) | 3.7 | 2.9% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,259.07 (-1.5%) | 4.8 | 9.0% | 15h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±16 | 15% ±50 | 23% | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,219.62 (-2.2%) | 6.7 | 2.0% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,356.62 | 6,381.29 | 6,290.05 | target | +0.42% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,356.62 | 6,374.04 | 6,259.07 | target | +0.42% |