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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-08 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,399.16 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.1% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 59% ±25 | 76% ±48 | 76% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,383.08 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 8.3% | 13h | 5.9d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| at post · 6,383.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,350.77–6,352.63 (-0.5%) | 1.5 | 5.0% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,319.85–6,321.56 (-1.0%) | 3.1 | 5.3% | 9h | 7.6d ago · 75× | 35% ±54 | 29% ±27 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 24% ±21 | 35% ±54 | 41% | 59% | 5.0d | 0.71% | 0.23% | 15 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,309.8–6,312.05 (-1.1%) | 3.5 | 6.4% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,297.66 (-1.3%) | 4.2 | 8.2% | 12h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 19% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 9% ±13 | 18% ±44 | 33% | 54% | 5.9d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,259.07 (-1.9%) | 6.1 | 8.9% | 15h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±44 | 25% | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,230.9 (-2.4%) | 7.5 | 2.0% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,383.08 | 6,436.19 | 6,321.56 | expired | +0.11% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,383.08 | 6,504.81 | 6,259.07 | expired | +0.11% |