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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-08 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,399.16 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.0% | 4h | 6.1d ago · 66× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 56% ±24 | 75% ±49 | 75% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,383.08 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 9.5% | 14h | 6.1d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| at post · 6,382.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 6,366.15 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 4.2% | 6h | 15.0d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 6,348.46 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 5.8% | 7h | 1.1d ago · 53× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | 25% ±27 | 35% ±66 | 54% | 63% | 2.1d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,319.85–6,322.55 (-0.9%) | 3.0 | 5.3% | 9h | 7.9d ago · 75× | 35% ±54 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 23% ±21 | 35% ±54 | 41% | 59% | 5.0d | 0.69% | 0.24% | 16 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,305.29–6,307.54 (-1.2%) | 3.8 | 6.3% | 9h | 1.1d ago · 63× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,296.65 (-1.3%) | 4.3 | 8.4% | 12h | 7.9d ago · 67× | 17% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 8% ±12 | 17% ±37 | 31% | 51% | 5.9d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,259.07 (-1.9%) | 6.2 | 8.7% | 14h | 5.9d ago · 48× | 19% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±11 | 17% ±43 | 24% | 38% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,242.17 (-2.2%) | 7.1 | 2.8% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 6,382.45 | 6,319.85 | 6,399.16 | expired | -0.12% |