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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,397.71–6,399.16 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.1% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 92% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 92% ±17 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 6,390.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,378.55–6,383.08 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 10.3% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 63× | 67% ±65 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 60% ±27 | 67% ±65 | 67% | 67% | 1h | 0.81% | 0.04% | 13 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,348 (-0.7%) | 2.4 | 5.8% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 29% ±63 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 21% ±23 | 29% ±63 | 43% | 53% | 5.2d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,327.83–6,330.09 (-1.0%) | 3.4 | 5.7% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,319.85–6,321.4 (-1.1%) | 3.8 | 5.2% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 75× | 28% ±62 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 14% ±19 | 28% ±62 | 28% | 41% | 5.0d | 0.69% | 0.24% | 13 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,296.27–6,296.97 (-1.5%) | 5.2 | 8.3% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 67× | 13% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 7% ±9 | 13% ±30 | 27% ±61 | 54% | 7.0d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,275.98–6,282.74 (-1.7%) | 6.0 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.