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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,389.82–6,407.25 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.0% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 87% ±33 | 24% ±22 | 47% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 69% ±19 | 85% ±35 | 92% | 94% | 1h | 0.36% | 0.35% | 24 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,389.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,383.08–6,388.98 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.2% | 15h | 5.9d ago · 75× | 90% ±42 | 22% ±23 | 43% ±28 | 36% ±27 | 12 | 83% ±20 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 90% | 1h | 0.75% | 0.15% | 14 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,327.83–6,330.09 (-0.9%) | 3.3 | 5.6% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,319.85–6,320.02 (-1.1%) | 3.9 | 5.1% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 18% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 7% ±10 | 18% ±37 | 28% | 41% | 5.9d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,296.27 (-1.5%) | 5.2 | 8.1% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,275.98–6,282.74 (-1.7%) | 6.0 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,389.6 | 6,388.98 | 6,422.95 | target | -0.68% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,389.6 | 6,383.08 | 6,413.43 | target | -0.68% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,389.6 | 6,389.82 | 6,415.97 | target | -0.68% |