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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,438.14 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.3% | 41m | 5.6d ago · 71× | 89% ±36 | 24% ±22 | 47% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 74% ±21 | 89% ±35 | 89% | 95% | 1h | 0.36% | 0.35% | 17 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,433.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,405.02–6,428.68 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.8% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,380.19–6,400.29 (-0.5%) | 1.9 | 1.5% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 75× | 32% ±53 | 24% ±24 | 41% ±28 | 34% ±27 | 12 | 23% ±18 | 32% ±53 | 41% | 62% | 4.9d | 0.72% | 0.17% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,367.18–6,395.56 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 5.0% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,336.94 (-1.5%) | 5.5 | 5.1% | 7h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 13% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±8 | 12% ±29 | 29% ±63 | 56% | 6.9d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,314.14 (-1.8%) | 6.8 | 5.2% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 8% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±26 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,296.21 (-2.1%) | 7.9 | 7.6% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 17% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 7% ±15 | 15% ±49 | 15% | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.