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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-13 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,460.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,446.76 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 0.5% | 34m | 6.0d ago · 52× | 56% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 58% ±23 | 58% ±56 | 68% | 68% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,407.82–6,421.75 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 0.6% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,381.34–6,399.46 (-0.9%) | 3.7 | 1.8% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 21% ±46 | 27% ±24 | 40% ±27 | 33% ±26 | 13 | 11% ±15 | 20% ±45 | 32% | 49% | 4.5d | 0.73% | 0.18% | 17 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,366.02–6,396.67 (-1.0%) | 3.9 | 3.6% | 8h | 6.0d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,344.42 (-1.8%) | 7.0 | 4.9% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 13% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 8% ±11 | 12% ±32 | 29% | 56% | 6.9d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,306.35 (-2.4%) | 9.3 | 5.3% | 8h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 9% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±8 | 9% ±27 | 18% | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,293.56 (-2.6%) | 10 | 6.7% | 10h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 7% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,460.2 | 6,562.54 | 6,389.41 | expired | +0.01% |