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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-13 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,463.28 (+0.1%) | 0.6 | 0.3% | 33m | 5.7d ago · 71× | 83% ±37 | 22% ±21 | 44% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 64% ±20 | 84% ±36 | 92% | 96% | 1h | 0.16% | 0.54% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,454.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,405.03–6,427.33 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 0.6% | 56m | 1.7d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,397.33–6,399.46 (-0.8%) | 3.7 | 1.4% | 4h | 13.9d ago · 40× | 28% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±15 | 23% ±47 | 49% | 68% | 3.2d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,366.02–6,396.67 (-0.9%) | 3.9 | 3.1% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,381.34–6,389.35 (-1.0%) | 4.4 | 8.4% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 75× | 17% ±43 | 27% ±24 | 40% ±27 | 33% ±26 | 13 | 10% ±14 | 14% ±40 | 21% | 36% | 7.0d | 0.73% | 0.18% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,352.81 (-1.6%) | 6.9 | 3.7% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 67× | 12% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 7% ±10 | 11% ±31 | 28% | 56% | 7.0d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,293.56–6,298.32 (-2.4%) | 11 | 6.0% | 9h | 6.9d ago · 58× | 7% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 22% ±58 | 28% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.