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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,460.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,458.18 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.0d ago · 52× | 85% ±50 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 86% ±20 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 86% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.32% | 12 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,402.25–6,430.12 (-0.5%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,413.38 (-0.7%) | 3.2 | 0.3% | 50m | 14.0d ago · 40× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 6% ±11 | 23% ±47 | 51% | 58% | 2.1d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,399.46 (-0.9%) | 4.1 | 1.5% | 4h | 14.9d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | 17% ±23 | 17% ±52 | 38% | 70% | 5.0d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,366.02–6,396.67 (-1.0%) | 4.3 | 3.2% | 7h | 6.0d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,381.34–6,389.35 (-1.1%) | 4.8 | 8.5% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 12% ±37 | 27% ±24 | 40% ±27 | 33% ±26 | 13 | 7% ±12 | 11% ±35 | 24% | 38% | 7.0d | 0.73% | 0.18% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,363.01 (-1.5%) | 6.6 | 2.2% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 11% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 7% ±10 | 10% ±27 | 30% ±64 | 56% | 6.9d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,290.29–6,293.56 (-2.6%) | 11 | 6.1% | 9h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 7% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 24% ±59 | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.