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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,467.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,454.79 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 52× | 60% ±55 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 62% ±22 | 62% ±55 | 71% | 71% | 1h | 0.42% | 0.27% | 19 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,440.14 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 1.8% | 3h | 14.0d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,405.03–6,430.12 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 0.8% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,399.46 (-1.1%) | 4.2 | 1.7% | 4h | 14.8d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | 15% ±21 | 15% ±50 | 37% | 70% | 5.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,366.02–6,396.67 (-1.1%) | 4.4 | 3.5% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,381.34–6,389.35 (-1.2%) | 4.9 | 9.2% | 14h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 13% ±38 | 31% ±25 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 7% ±11 | 12% ±37 | 20% | 38% | > 7d | 0.71% | 0.25% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,363.01 (-1.6%) | 6.5 | 2.5% | 3h | 7.7d ago · 67× | 10% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 28% ±62 | 53% | 7.0d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,345.15 (-1.9%) | 7.6 | 4.7% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 63× | 14% ±39 | 21% ±24 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 8% ±12 | 13% ±33 | 37% | 57% | 6.9d | 0.75% | 0.09% | 22 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,290.29–6,293.56 (-2.7%) | 11 | 6.6% | 10h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 7% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 22% ±57 | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,467.93 | 6,559.71 | 6,389.35 | expired | -0.15% |