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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,475.97 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 0.4% | 58m | 6.1d ago · 66× | 75% ±49 | 23% ±26 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 55% ±23 | 75% ±49 | 80% | 90% | 4h | 0.76% | 0.14% | 18 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,458.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,454.37 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.1% | 5h | 1.1d ago · 53× | 80% ±55 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 82% ±19 | 82% ±43 | 82% | 82% | 1h | 0.42% | 0.27% | 15 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,405.81–6,428.19 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.1d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,388.66–6,397.41 (-0.9%) | 3.7 | 3.1% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 75× | 16% ±41 | 27% ±24 | 40% ±27 | 33% ±26 | 13 | 11% ±14 | 14% ±39 | 20% | 39% | 5.0d | 0.73% | 0.18% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,366.64–6,394.62 (-1.0%) | 3.9 | 5.6% | 10h | 1.1d ago · 63× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 17% ±23 | 17% ±52 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,364.06 (-1.5%) | 5.7 | 2.8% | 4h | 7.9d ago · 67× | 11% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 5% ±7 | 11% ±25 | 26% ±61 | 52% | 7.0d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,320.15 (-2.1%) | 8.4 | 4.3% | 7h | 7.9d ago · 58× | 8% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±7 | 7% ±25 | 15% | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,293.91 (-2.5%) | 10.0 | 6.9% | 10h | 7.1d ago · 41× | 6% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 16% ±51 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.