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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,474.3–6,475.97 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 0.6% | 1h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 75% ±42 | 22% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 16 | 42% ±20 | 75% ±43 | 82% | 93% | 11h | 0.45% | 0.27% | 23 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,458.5 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.7% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 6,457.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,457.3 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.9% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 87% ±47 | 31% ±25 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 80% ±22 | 87% ±47 | 87% | 87% | 1h | 0.71% | 0.25% | 13 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,403.43–6,430.3 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,408.63 (-0.8%) | 3.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 17% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 8% ±12 | 17% ±37 | 33% | 48% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,398.06 (-0.9%) | 4.0 | 2.4% | 5h | 14.8d ago · 30× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 13% ±18 | 13% ±47 | 35% | 70% | 5.0d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-1.0%) | 4.2 | 4.4% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 16% ±22 | 16% ±51 | 16% | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,380.6 (-1.2%) | 5.1 | 8.8% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 10% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±9 | 9% ±28 | 14% | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,325.52 (-2.1%) | 8.8 | 4.3% | 7h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 15% ±49 | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,293.28 (-2.5%) | 11 | 6.2% | 9h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 16% ±51 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,457.91 | 6,474.3 | 6,408.63 | expired | -0.12% |