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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,473.13–6,473.66 (+0.4%) | 1.8 | 0.9% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 45% ±56 | 22% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 16 | 11% ±14 | 45% ±56 | 53% | 92% | 2.3d | 0.45% | 0.27% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,457.3–6,457.34 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 5.2% | 8h | 6.0d ago · 78× | 85% ±50 | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 69% ±27 | 85% ±50 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 0.07% | 0.62% | 11 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,449.1–6,459.85 (+0.0%) | 0.2 | 4.0% | 6h | 6.0d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 6,446.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,436.77 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.8d ago · 67× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 71% ±23 | 76% ±48 | 76% | 76% | 1h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,406.12–6,422.24 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 0.6% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 55× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 31% | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,398.06 (-0.8%) | 3.3 | 2.5% | 5h | 14.9d ago · 30× | 13% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±17 | 12% ±46 | 19% | 59% | 5.9d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-0.8%) | 3.5 | 4.7% | 8h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 14% ±20 | 14% ±48 | 14% | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,380.6 (-1.0%) | 4.5 | 9.3% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 9% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±9 | 9% ±28 | 13% | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,337.36 (-1.7%) | 7.5 | 4.5% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 12% ±45 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,298.66 (-2.3%) | 10 | 3.2% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 6% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±18 | 14% ±48 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.