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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,473.66 (+0.4%) | 1.9 | 0.7% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 32% ±53 | 23% ±26 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 10% ±14 | 31% ±53 | 37% | 88% | 3.9d | 0.76% | 0.14% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,466.09 (+0.3%) | 1.4 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 74% ±50 | 21% ±20 | 47% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 20% ±18 | 74% ±50 | 84% | 95% | 21h | 0.25% | 0.35% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,457.3–6,457.34 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 4.9% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 85% ±50 | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 64% ±27 | 83% ±52 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 0.07% | 0.62% | 12 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,447.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,437.95 (-0.1%) | 0.7 | 2.0% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 72% ±22 | 78% ±47 | 78% | 78% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,406.12–6,422.24 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 0.6% | 58m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 31% | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,398.06 (-0.8%) | 3.5 | 2.3% | 5h | 14.7d ago · 30× | 13% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±16 | 12% ±36 | 18% | 53% | 5.9d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-0.8%) | 3.7 | 4.4% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 14% ±19 | 14% ±48 | 14% | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,380.6 (-1.0%) | 4.8 | 8.7% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 8% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±27 | 12% | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,343.12 (-1.6%) | 7.5 | 4.3% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 12% ±45 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,295.97 (-2.3%) | 11 | 2.5% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 6% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±18 | 14% ±48 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.