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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,473.66 (+0.4%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 1h | 5.9d ago · 66× | 30% ±52 | 23% ±26 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 9% ±13 | 28% ±51 | 38% | 88% | 3.9d | 0.76% | 0.14% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,461.94 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 3.3% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 77% ±47 | 21% ±20 | 47% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 29% ±19 | 72% ±44 | 84% | 96% | 21h | 0.25% | 0.35% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,449.66–6,450.38 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.9% | 9h | 6.0d ago · 78× | building | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 76% ±25 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 0.07% | 0.62% | 11 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,445.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,439.56 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 67× | 81% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 78% ±20 | 83% ±42 | 83% | 83% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,406.12–6,422.24 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 0.5% | 58m | 1.7d ago · 55× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 30% | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,398.06 (-0.7%) | 3.4 | 2.2% | 5h | 14.8d ago · 30× | 13% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 11% ±15 | 11% ±36 | 18% | 48% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-0.8%) | 3.6 | 4.3% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 12% ±17 | 12% ±46 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,380.6 (-1.0%) | 4.6 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 48× | 8% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±26 | 12% | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,348.88 (-1.5%) | 6.9 | 4.2% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 6% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 13% ±46 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,293.28 (-2.4%) | 11 | 1.9% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 6% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 14% ±48 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.