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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,473.99 (+1.0%) | 4.2 | 0.7% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 13% ±46 | 23% ±26 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 6% ±13 | 12% ±46 | 44% | 88% | 3.0d | 0.76% | 0.14% | 14 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,461.85 (+0.8%) | 3.4 | 3.4% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 54% ±69 | 21% ±20 | 47% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 8% ±16 | 54% ±69 | 54% | 92% | 1.0d | 0.25% | 0.35% | 11 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,450.55–6,451.02 (+0.6%) | 2.6 | 6.2% | 10h | 5.9d ago · 78× | building | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 38% ±30 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.07% | 0.62% | 8 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,443.73–6,459.85 (+0.5%) | 2.1 | 3.9% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,440.03 (+0.4%) | 1.9 | 3.0% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 6,412.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 6,403.43 (-0.1%) | 0.6 | 0.9% | 2h | 14.8d ago · 30× | 69% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 69% ±27 | 69% ±64 | 69% | 77% | 1h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 4.4% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,376.6–6,380.6 (-0.5%) | 2.2 | 8.7% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,290.6 (-1.9%) | 8.4 | 1.3% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 8% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±26 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,252.99–6,287.91 (-1.9%) | 8.6 | 0.7% | 43m | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.