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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,466.95–6,474.24 (+1.8%) | 7.4 | 2.2% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 71× | building | 22% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 16 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.45% | 0.27% | 4 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,450.28–6,450.59 (+1.5%) | 6.3 | 6.4% | 11h | 6.0d ago · 78× | building | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 11 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.08% | 0.59% | 3 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,442.08 (+1.4%) | 5.8 | 3.6% | 7h | 6.9d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,414.18–6,419.55 (+1.0%) | 4.0 | 1.2% | 2h | 21.8d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 6,408.8 (+0.9%) | 3.6 | 1.9% | 3h | 8.0d ago · 49× | 37% ±55 | 31% ±29 | 38% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 5% ±11 | 37% ±55 | 79% | 89% | 1.9d | 0.30% | 0.41% | 17 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,380.6–6,383.71 (+0.4%) | 1.8 | 9.0% | 14h | 6.0d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 3.5% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 6,353.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,344.33–6,349.7 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.4% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,293.28 (-0.9%) | 3.9 | 2.0% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,250.3–6,287.91 (-1.0%) | 4.3 | 0.7% | 48m | 1.8d ago · 55× | 17% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 8% ±17 | 17% ±52 | 33% | 50% | 6.0d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,353.49 | 6,262.97 | 6,450.28 | expired | -0.63% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,353.49 | 6,380.6 | 6,429.6 | target | -0.63% |