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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,474.47–6,474.5 (+1.3%) | 4.3 | 0.8% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 12% ±36 | 22% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 16 | 7% ±12 | 17% ±43 | 36% | 81% | 3.6d | 0.45% | 0.27% | 16 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,449.7–6,450.41 (+0.9%) | 3.0 | 7.6% | 12h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 42% ±68 | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 8% ±16 | 40% ±68 | 81% | 92% | 2.0d | 0.08% | 0.59% | 11 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,443.73–6,459.85 (+0.8%) | 2.7 | 5.2% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,416.86–6,419.55 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 1.3% | 2h | 21.7d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 6,408.8–6,409.85 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 2.4% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 76% ±48 | 31% ±29 | 38% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 67% ±23 | 78% ±47 | 94% | 94% | 2h | 0.30% | 0.41% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,393.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 6,380.6–6,387.28 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 12.0% | 19h | 5.7d ago · 58× | 60% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 53% ±26 | 60% ±68 | 60% | 60% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,338.96–6,352.39 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 5.1% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,293.28 (-1.6%) | 5.3 | 2.0% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 7% ±14 | 13% ±47 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,250.3–6,290.6 (-1.6%) | 5.5 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.