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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,474.47–6,474.5 (+1.8%) | 5.7 | 0.8% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 17% ±52 | 22% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 16 | 7% ±15 | 15% ±49 | 68% | 80% | 2.0d | 0.45% | 0.27% | 12 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,449.7–6,450.41 (+1.4%) | 4.5 | 8.1% | 13h | 5.9d ago · 78× | building | 36% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 11 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.08% | 0.59% | 8 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 6,401.6–6,408.8 (+0.7%) | 2.1 | 3.4% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 43% ±49 | 31% ±29 | 38% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 16% ±15 | 48% ±49 | 84% | 92% | 1.0d | 0.30% | 0.41% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,380.6–6,388.99 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 13.7% | 21h | 5.9d ago · 46× | 54% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 46% ±29 | 54% ±69 | 92% | 92% | 6h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,398.06 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.7% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 6,358.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,338.96–6,355.07 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.8% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,295.97 (-1.0%) | 3.0 | 1.5% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,250.3–6,293.28 (-1.0%) | 3.2 | 0.9% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 21% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 11% ±15 | 21% ±46 | 43% | 78% | 4.0d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.