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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-22 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,465.84–6,474.47 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 4.1% | 7h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 79% ±40 | 22% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 16 | 63% ±19 | 79% ±40 | 81% | 88% | 1h | 0.45% | 0.27% | 24 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,456.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,448.86–6,450.41 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.4% | 16h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 89% ±36 | 26% ±23 | 42% ±26 | 32% ±24 | 14 | 83% ±18 | 89% ±36 | 89% | 89% | 1h | 0.72% | 0.17% | 16 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,411.49 (-0.7%) | 1.8 | 2.5% | 5h | 14.8d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,363.13–6,398.06 (-0.9%) | 2.4 | 6.6% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | 25% ±27 | 42% ±68 | 58% | 58% | 1.0d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,380.6–6,389.23 (-1.0%) | 2.7 | 15.1% | 1.0d | 5.7d ago · 67× | 14% ±39 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 9% ±13 | 14% ±39 | 27% | 45% | > 7d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 20 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,298.66 (-2.4%) | 6.5 | 2.1% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 13% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±12 | 12% ±36 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,252.99–6,295.97 (-2.5%) | 6.6 | 1.6% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,456.15 | 6,448.86 | 6,372.35 | target | +0.16% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,456.15 | 6,450.41 | 6,373.89 | target | +0.16% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,456.15 | 6,568.98 | 6,380.6 | expired | +0.16% |