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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-22 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,477.22–6,478.89 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.4% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 91% ±32 | 22% ±20 | 53% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 16 | 83% ±17 | 92% ±31 | 92% | 94% | 1h | 0.45% | 0.27% | 19 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,476.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,443.73–6,462.53 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 7.4% | 11h | 6.0d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | 67% ±29 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 83% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,447.16–6,450.41 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 9.7% | 16h | 6.0d ago · 75× | 64% ±54 | 26% ±23 | 42% ±26 | 32% ±24 | 14 | 57% ±21 | 64% ±47 | 69% | 72% | 12h | 0.72% | 0.17% | 21 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,422.24 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 1.8% | 3h | 14.9d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,380.6–6,394.73 (-1.3%) | 3.2 | 10.0% | 17h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 18% ±38 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 6% ±9 | 18% ±33 | 31% ±64 | 48% | 5.9d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,295.97 (-2.8%) | 7.1 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 10% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±34 | 10% | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,250.3–6,295.97 (-2.8%) | 7.1 | 1.6% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 17% ±23 | 17% ±52 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.