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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,477.22–6,478.89 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 2.1% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 75% ±38 | 21% ±19 | 56% ±24 | 24% ±20 | 17 | 57% ±17 | 75% ±38 | 80% ±55 | 93% | 2h | 0.47% | 0.13% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,457.28 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.3% | 15h | 5.8d ago · 51× | building | 38% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.17% | 0.21% | 9 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,455.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 6,443.73–6,447.16 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 9.6% | 15h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 76% ±49 | 29% ±24 | 41% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 73% ±21 | 76% ±49 | 82% | 85% | 1h | 0.69% | 0.24% | 18 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,416.86–6,419.55 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 1.8% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 21% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 14% ±20 | 21% ±57 | 43% | 86% | 3.9d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,402.98 (-0.8%) | 2.2 | 4.3% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-0.9%) | 2.5 | 7.5% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 38% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 23% ±25 | 38% ±67 | 54% | 54% | 2.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,383.28–6,387.07 (-1.1%) | 2.8 | 14.6% | 21h | 5.6d ago · 67× | 13% ±32 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 8% ±12 | 13% ±32 | 25% | 44% | > 7d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 22 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,295.97 (-2.5%) | 6.6 | 1.7% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 11% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±11 | 11% ±36 | 11% | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 6,455.48 | 6,402.98 | 6,477.22 | expired | +0.16% |