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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,477.22–6,478.89 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 1.8% | 3h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 77% ±37 | 21% ±19 | 56% ±24 | 24% ±20 | 17 | 59% ±17 | 76% ±38 | 82% ±54 | 93% | 1h | 0.47% | 0.13% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,464.71 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 8.7% | 13h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 92% ±37 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 85% ±21 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 0.07% | 0.52% | 11 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,460.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 6,446.42–6,457.28 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.4% | 16h | 5.9d ago · 63× | 82% ±43 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 77% ±20 | 80% ±46 | 83% | 86% | 1h | 0.73% | 0.04% | 17 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,416.86–6,419.55 (-0.6%) | 1.9 | 1.6% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 55× | 19% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 12% ±16 | 18% ±44 | 43% | 81% | 4.0d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,411.23 (-0.8%) | 2.2 | 2.5% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | 17% ±23 | 35% ±66 | 35% | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-1.0%) | 3.0 | 6.6% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 24% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 14% ±15 | 23% ±48 | 38% | 69% | 5.1d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,383.28–6,387.07 (-1.1%) | 3.3 | 13.3% | 20h | 5.7d ago · 67× | 17% ±37 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 6% ±9 | 17% ±37 | 32% | 52% | 6.9d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,295.97 (-2.5%) | 7.5 | 1.6% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 7% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 7% ±35 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.