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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-26 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,477.22–6,478.89 (+0.5%) | 1.7 | 1.5% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 45% ±49 | 21% ±19 | 56% ±24 | 24% ±20 | 17 | 16% ±15 | 42% ±48 | 51% | 92% | 2.4d | 0.47% | 0.13% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,449.1–6,464.71 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.2% | 15h | 6.0d ago · 78× | 84% ±41 | 35% ±27 | 30% ±26 | 35% ±27 | 12 | 70% ±23 | 85% ±41 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 0.18% | 0.39% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,444.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,426.35 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 79% ±23 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 86% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,416.86–6,419.55 (-0.4%) | 1.3 | 1.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 15% ±21 | 24% ±59 | 43% | 83% | 3.9d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-0.8%) | 2.5 | 5.6% | 10h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 18% ±19 | 30% ±52 | 52% | 52% | 2.0d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,383.28–6,387.07 (-0.9%) | 2.9 | 11.7% | 18h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 15% ±35 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 7% ±10 | 14% ±34 | 27% | 42% | > 7d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,295.97 (-2.3%) | 7.6 | 1.3% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 7% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±22 | 6% ±34 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.