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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-26 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,475.84–6,478.89 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 1.8% | 3h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 44% ±49 | 21% ±19 | 56% ±24 | 24% ±20 | 17 | 14% ±14 | 41% ±48 | 51% | 91% | 2.8d | 0.47% | 0.13% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,449.1–6,464.71 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 8.8% | 14h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 86% ±39 | 34% ±27 | 32% ±26 | 34% ±27 | 12 | 71% ±21 | 86% ±39 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 0.18% | 0.37% | 18 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,448.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,435.97 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 2.9% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 73% ±24 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 83% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,416.86–6,419.55 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 55× | 18% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 11% ±15 | 16% ±42 | 42% | 81% | 4.0d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,365.82–6,395.37 (-0.8%) | 3.1 | 4.7% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 23% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±14 | 21% ±40 | 36% | 69% | 5.1d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,383.28–6,385.72 (-1.0%) | 3.6 | 10.7% | 17h | 5.7d ago · 67× | 15% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 5% ±8 | 14% ±30 | 29% ±63 | 51% | 6.0d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,295.97 (-2.4%) | 8.8 | 1.1% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±18 | 6% ±32 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.